2025 Atlanta I: Top Finish Rates by Driver

As you peruse my 2024 Atlanta I: Top Finish Rates by Driver chart, remember that this track’s conversion to more of a superspeedway means that only data from 2022 through 2024 is relevant to this weekend’s race. Fortunately, we have six races of Gen-7 data now, which allows us to make at least a few conclusions.

The chart below shows top-n finishes for the drivers who have raced Atlanta over the last three years. To be included in the chart, a driver must have run at least three Atlanta races during that period.

Atlanta 2022-2024: Top Finish Rates by Driver

Driver	Win Rate	Top 2 Rate	Top 3 Rate	Top 5 Rate	Top 10 Rate	Top 20 Rate
Byron	33.33	33.33	33.33	33.33	50.00	66.67
Logano	33.33	33.33	33.33	33.33	50.00	66.67
Elliott	20.00	20.00	20.00	20.00	60.00	100.00
Suarez	16.67	50.00	50.00	66.67	83.33	83.33
Chastain	nan	33.33	33.33	33.33	50.00	83.33
Blaney	nan	16.67	33.33	50.00	83.33	100.00
Keselowski	nan	16.67	16.67	16.67	33.33	83.33
Ky Busch	nan	nan	16.67	33.33	66.67	83.33
Cindric	nan	nan	16.67	33.33	50.00	83.33
Bell	nan	nan	16.67	33.33	33.33	50.00
LaJoie	nan	nan	nan	33.33	33.33	66.67
Jones	nan	nan	nan	16.67	33.33	66.67
Bowman	nan	nan	nan	16.67	33.33	50.00
McDowell	nan	nan	nan	16.67	33.33	50.00
Reddick	nan	nan	nan	16.67	33.33	33.33
Wallace	nan	nan	nan	16.67	16.67	50.00
Gibbs	nan	nan	nan	nan	50.00	75.00
Haley	nan	nan	nan	nan	33.33	83.33
Stenhouse Jr	nan	nan	nan	nan	33.33	66.67
Buescher	nan	nan	nan	nan	33.33	50.00
Custer	nan	nan	nan	nan	33.33	33.33
Yeley	nan	nan	nan	nan	33.33	33.33
Almirola	nan	nan	nan	nan	25.00	50.00
Truex Jr	nan	nan	nan	nan	16.67	66.67
Burton	nan	nan	nan	nan	16.67	33.33
Hamlin	nan	nan	nan	nan	16.67	33.33
Gilliland	nan	nan	nan	nan	nan	50.00
Preece	nan	nan	nan	nan	nan	50.00
A Dillon	nan	nan	nan	nan	nan	33.33
Berry	nan	nan	nan	nan	nan	33.33
Briscoe	nan	nan	nan	nan	nan	33.33
McLeod	nan	nan	nan	nan	nan	33.33
Harvick	nan	nan	nan	nan	nan	25.00
T Dillon	nan	nan	nan	nan	nan	25.00
Gragson	nan	nan	nan	nan	nan	16.67
Larson	nan	nan	nan	nan	nan	16.67

2025 Atlanta I: The Good

Only four drivers have won the six races. William Byron and Joey Logano have each won twice, while Chase Elliott and Daniel Suárez have on win each.

Suárez has three second-place finishes and Ross Chastain two second-place finishes.

If you’re looking at parlays, note that Suárez and Ryan Blaney have finishes in the top 10 in five out of the six races. Elliott has never finishes out of the top 20.

The Bad

Chris Buescher has finished out of the top 20 in half the races he’s run, which is three out of six. Similarly, Denny Hamlin’s only finished in the top 10 once — and out of the top 20 four times.

As you’re perusing the names at the bottom of the list, remember that a number of those drivers are with different teams and often different crew chiefs this year.

Also, the No. 19 of Chase Briscoe has something to prove after being slammed with a 100 point/10 bonus point penalty following the Daytona 500. They’ve appealed that penalty, but regardless of the appeal outcome, they would like nothing better than to make a statement this weekend.

The Ugly

Kyle Larson has only finished in the top 20 once in the six races he’s won. That’s a major benefit of the current playoff system to drivers who don’t find much success at pack-racing tracks. A driver like Larson can win at enough other tracks that his total point score isn’t so important.

That’s the 2025 Atlanta I Driver Finish Summary.