Race Stats

Leading Laps Matters. Leading the Most Laps Doesn’t

People often cite leading laps as one requirement for a good driver. Laps led is one of the few stats that goes way back in terms of record keeping. Before loop data and transponders, races offered a limited number of things your could count. But who lead each lap was one of them. […]

Qualifying

An Alternative Metric for Rainy Days

I’ve said before that an alternative metric is needed because the current one penalizes drivers too severely for one bad race. The fourth rained-out qualifying session in six Chase races brings home the point. Some […]

The Chase/The Playoffs

Can a Champion Come from Outside the Top-Six Seeds?

Within weeks of NASCAR announcing a re-formulated version of The Chase for 2026, the word around the garage was that the future champion would have to enter The Chase as one of the top six seeds. […]

Lead Changes

Does the Lead-Change Metric Determine a Good Race?

People often cite the number of lead changes in a race — the lead change metric — and suggest that a big number means a good race. The metric is simple, easy to get and elegant in a fundamental way.

It’s also misleading. […]

Darlington Raceway

Pit Road and Persistence Determine Darlington Outcome

Pit road performance always plays a huge role at Darlington Raceway. Equally important is how well a team can recover from a pit-road glitch. The latter played a huge role in Christopher Bell’s win tonight. […]

2026 NASCAR Rules

Will NASCAR’s New Stage-Break Rule Produce Lots More Green-Flag Laps?

NASCAR has a new stage-break rule after fan frustration over large numbers of caution laps. One reason for that frustration is because the lengths of cautions are going up. That, in part at least, is because softer tires shed more rubber and necessitate more cleanup. […]

Bubba Wallace

Elliott Sadler Runs Richmond: A Circle Closes

If you read my long-ago book The Physics of NASCAR, you know that the team I embedded with was Ray Evernham’s No. 19, driven by Elliott Sadler. Richmond reminded me that it’s almost 20 years since I did the research for that book. Elliott’s homecoming of sorts completed a circle for him — and for me. […]

passing

Lack of Passing at Indy: It’s Not the Car

Much talk this week about lack of passing at Indy and whether NASCAR a) should be racing there only with a different car and b) should be racing there at all. Let’s insert some actual data into the discussion. […]